VQS Prediction Metric Report

Generated 2026-03-18 | Horizon: 1-month | Series: 6

Where Does the Model Add Value?

Series x Regime Heat Map (VQS advantage over Persistence, days)

Green = VQS better by >3d, Red = VQS worse by >3d, Yellow = within 3d. Hover for details.

SeriesAdvancingStalledRetrogressingRecoveringVolatile
China EB-1+4d
N=48		+0d
N=31		+0d
N=7		+0d
N=3		+0d
N=15
China EB-2+0d
N=48		+0d
N=17		+0d
N=4		—+0d
N=35
China EB-3+0d
N=33		+0d
N=17		+0d
N=6		+0d
N=3		+0d
N=45
India EB-1+4d
N=54		+2d
N=19		+0d
N=7		+0d
N=3		+0d
N=21
India EB-2+0d
N=25		+0d
N=41		——+0d
N=38
India EB-3+0d
N=38		+0d
N=30		+0d
N=2		—+0d
N=34

FY Boundary vs Steady-State

Comparing persistence and VQS MAE during FY boundary months (Aug-Oct) vs steady-state (Nov-Jul).

Series FY Boundary (Aug-Oct) Steady-State (Nov-Jul)
PersistVQSAdvantage PersistVQSAdvantage
China EB-157.855.8+2.0d18.617.3+1.3d
China EB-248.147.9+0.2d27.828.0-0.2d
China EB-370.670.9-0.4d21.021.2-0.1d
India EB-1113.0114.9-1.9d25.724.6+1.1d
India EB-274.074.2-0.1d15.415.6-0.2d
India EB-3106.6107.0-0.4d23.324.1-0.9d

Report data: 144 metric rows across 6 series x 3 horizons