April 2014 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Official April 2014 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-2	pred	-	-	15 Feb 2009 → 15 Feb 2009 0 Movement Likely	-	15 Nov 2004 → 15 Nov 2004 0 Watch	-	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	Current	-	08 Mar 2009 ↑ 21d -21d	-	15 Nov 2004 0 exact	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-3	pred	01 Sep 2012 → 01 Sep 2012 0	-	01 Sep 2012 → 01 Sep 2012 0 Movement Likely	-	15 Sep 2003 → 15 Sep 2003 0 Stable	-	01 Sep 2012 → 01 Sep 2012 0	-	01 May 2007 → 01 May 2007 0	-
EB-3	real	01 Oct 2012 ↑ 1m -30d	-	01 Oct 2012 ↑ 1m -30d	-	15 Sep 2003 0 exact	-	01 Oct 2012 ↑ 1m -30d	-	15 Jun 2007 ↑ 1m -45d	-
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

How our April 2014 forecast scored Typical miss ±22 days across 7 scored dates (worst 45d).

EB-2: ±10d EB-3: ±27d

Model averaged 22.3d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 22.3d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 7 scored dates.

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April 2014 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the April 2014 Visa Bulletin?

No — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date held at 15 Nov 2004, unchanged from the prior month, in the April 2014 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in April 2014?

In the April 2014 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in April 2014?

In the April 2014 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in April 2014?

In the April 2014 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 15 Nov 2004, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in April 2014?

In the April 2014 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 08 Mar 2009, an advance of 21d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in April 2014?

In the April 2014 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 15 Sep 2003, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.