August 2011 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Official August 2011 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-2	pred	-	-	08 Mar 2007 → 08 Mar 2007 0 Movement Likely	-	08 Mar 2007 → 08 Mar 2007 0 Movement Likely	-	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	Current	-	15 Apr 2007 ↑ 1m -38d	-	15 Apr 2007 ↑ 1m -38d	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-3	pred	08 Oct 2005 → 08 Oct 2005 0	-	01 Jul 2004 → 01 Jul 2004 0 Movement Likely	-	01 May 2002 → 01 May 2002 0 Stable	-	01 Jul 2005 → 01 Jul 2005 0	-	08 Oct 2005 → 08 Oct 2005 0	-
EB-3	real	01 Nov 2005 ↑ 24d -24d	-	08 Jul 2004 ↑ 7d -7d	-	01 Jun 2002 ↑ 1m -31d	-	01 Nov 2005 ↑ 4m -123d	-	01 Nov 2005 ↑ 24d -24d	-
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

How our August 2011 forecast scored Typical miss ±41 days across 7 scored dates (worst 123d).

EB-2: ±38d EB-3: ±42d

Model averaged 40.7d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 40.7d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 7 scored dates.

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August 2011 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the August 2011 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 1m to 15 Apr 2007 in the August 2011 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in August 2011?

In the August 2011 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in August 2011?

In the August 2011 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in August 2011?

In the August 2011 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 15 Apr 2007, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in August 2011?

In the August 2011 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 15 Apr 2007, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in August 2011?

In the August 2011 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 Jun 2002, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.