August 2013 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Official August 2013 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-2	pred	-	-	08 Aug 2008 → 08 Aug 2008 0 Movement Likely	-	01 Sep 2004 → 01 Sep 2004 0 Movement Likely	-	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	Current	-	08 Aug 2008 0 exact	-	01 Jan 2008 ↑ 40m -1217d	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-3	pred	01 Jan 2009 → 01 Jan 2009 0	-	01 Jan 2009 → 01 Jan 2009 0 Movement Likely	-	22 Jan 2003 → 22 Jan 2003 0 Stable	-	01 Jan 2009 → 01 Jan 2009 0	-	01 Oct 2006 → 01 Oct 2006 0	-
EB-3	real	01 Jan 2009 0 exact	-	01 Jan 2009 0 exact	-	22 Jan 2003 0 exact	-	01 Jan 2009 0 exact	-	22 Oct 2006 ↑ 21d -21d	-
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

How our August 2013 forecast scored Typical miss ±177 days across 7 scored dates (worst 1217d).

EB-2: ±608d EB-3: ±4d

Model averaged 176.9d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 176.9d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 7 scored dates.

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August 2013 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the August 2013 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 40m to 01 Jan 2008 in the August 2013 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in August 2013?

In the August 2013 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in August 2013?

In the August 2013 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in August 2013?

In the August 2013 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2008, an advance of 40m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in August 2013?

In the August 2013 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 08 Aug 2008, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in August 2013?

In the August 2013 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 22 Jan 2003, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.