U.S. Immigration Data

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October 2016 Visa Bulletin Family-Sponsored Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: September 30, 2016 · Methodology

Official October 2016 Visa Bulletin Family-Sponsored Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
F1 pred
15 Sep 2009 → 15 Sep 2009 0
01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0
15 Sep 2009 → 15 Sep 2009 0
01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0
15 Sep 2009 → 15 Sep 2009 0
01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0
22 Mar 1995 → 22 Mar 1995 0
01 Apr 1995 → 01 Apr 1995 0
01 Jul 2005 → 01 Jul 2005 0
22 Dec 2005 → 22 Dec 2005 0
real
22 Sep 2009 ↑ 7d -7d
01 Jan 2011 ↑ 12m -365d
22 Sep 2009 ↑ 7d -7d
01 Jan 2011 ↑ 12m -365d
22 Sep 2009 ↑ 7d -7d
01 Jan 2011 ↑ 12m -365d
01 Apr 1995 ↑ 10d -10d
01 Jun 1995 ↑ 2m -61d
01 Aug 2005 ↑ 1m -31d
01 May 2006 ↑ 4m -130d
F2A pred
15 Nov 2014 → 15 Nov 2014 0
22 Nov 2015 → 22 Nov 2015 0
15 Nov 2014 → 15 Nov 2014 0
22 Nov 2015 → 22 Nov 2015 0
15 Nov 2014 → 15 Nov 2014 0
22 Nov 2015 → 22 Nov 2015 0
01 Sep 2014 → 01 Sep 2014 0
22 Nov 2015 → 22 Nov 2015 0
15 Nov 2014 → 15 Nov 2014 0
22 Nov 2015 → 22 Nov 2015 0
real
22 Dec 2014 ↑ 1m -37d
22 Nov 2015 0 exact
22 Dec 2014 ↑ 1m -37d
22 Nov 2015 0 exact
22 Dec 2014 ↑ 1m -37d
22 Nov 2015 0 exact
01 Dec 2014 ↑ 3m -91d
22 Nov 2015 0 exact
22 Dec 2014 ↑ 1m -37d
22 Nov 2015 0 exact
F2B pred
01 Feb 2010 → 01 Feb 2010 0
08 Feb 2011 → 08 Feb 2011 0
01 Feb 2010 → 01 Feb 2010 0
08 Feb 2011 → 08 Feb 2011 0
01 Feb 2010 → 01 Feb 2010 0
08 Feb 2011 → 08 Feb 2011 0
15 Sep 1995 → 15 Sep 1995 0
22 May 1996 → 22 May 1996 0
01 Dec 2005 → 01 Dec 2005 0
01 Feb 2006 → 01 Feb 2006 0
real
15 Mar 2010 ↑ 1m -42d
08 Feb 2011 0 exact
15 Mar 2010 ↑ 1m -42d
08 Feb 2011 0 exact
15 Mar 2010 ↑ 1m -42d
08 Feb 2011 0 exact
01 Oct 1995 ↑ 16d -16d
01 Jun 1996 ↑ 10d -10d
01 Jan 2006 ↑ 1m -31d
01 Feb 2007 ↑ 12m -365d
F3 pred
01 Dec 2004 → 01 Dec 2004 0
22 Aug 2005 → 22 Aug 2005 0
01 Dec 2004 → 01 Dec 2004 0
22 Aug 2005 → 22 Aug 2005 0
01 Dec 2004 → 01 Dec 2004 0
22 Aug 2005 → 22 Aug 2005 0
15 Nov 1994 → 15 Nov 1994 0
01 May 1995 → 01 May 1995 0
15 Jun 1994 → 15 Jun 1994 0
01 Aug 1995 → 01 Aug 1995 0
real
22 Dec 2004 ↑ 21d -21d
22 Aug 2005 0 exact
22 Dec 2004 ↑ 21d -21d
22 Aug 2005 0 exact
22 Dec 2004 ↑ 21d -21d
22 Aug 2005 0 exact
22 Nov 1994 ↑ 7d -7d
01 May 1995 0 exact
08 Jul 1994 ↑ 23d -23d
01 Jan 1995 ↓ 7m +212d
F4 pred
08 Oct 2003 → 08 Oct 2003 0
15 Jun 2004 → 15 Jun 2004 0
01 Jan 2003 → 01 Jan 2003 0
15 Jun 2004 → 15 Jun 2004 0
01 Jan 2001 → 01 Jan 2001 0
01 May 2004 → 01 May 2004 0
22 Apr 1997 → 22 Apr 1997 0
01 Jun 1998 → 01 Jun 1998 0
01 Mar 1993 → 01 Mar 1993 0
15 Jul 1993 → 15 Jul 1993 0
real
01 Nov 2003 ↑ 24d -24d
01 Jul 2004 ↑ 16d -16d
01 May 2003 ↑ 4m -120d
01 Jul 2004 ↑ 16d -16d
01 Dec 2002 ↑ 23m -699d
01 May 2004 0 exact
01 May 1997 ↑ 9d -9d
01 Dec 1997 ↓ 6m +182d
15 Apr 1993 ↑ 1m -45d
01 Apr 1994 ↑ 8m -260d
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for October 2016, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for November 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Family-Sponsored
How our October 2016 forecast scored Typical miss ±76 days across 50 scored dates (worst 699d).

Model averaged 76.2d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 76.2d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 50 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the November 2026 bulletin →
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October 2016 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

What is the F1 Final Action Date for India in October 2016?

In the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, the official F1 India Final Action Date is 22 Sep 2009, an advance of 7d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the F1 Final Action Date for Mexico in October 2016?

In the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, the official F1 Mexico Final Action Date is 01 Apr 1995, an advance of 10d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the F1 Final Action Date for the Philippines in October 2016?

In the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, the official F1 the Philippines Final Action Date is 01 Aug 2005, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the F2A Final Action Date for India in October 2016?

In the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, the official F2A India Final Action Date is 22 Dec 2014, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the F2A Final Action Date for Mexico in October 2016?

In the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, the official F2A Mexico Final Action Date is 01 Dec 2014, an advance of 3m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the F2A Final Action Date for the Philippines in October 2016?

In the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, the official F2A the Philippines Final Action Date is 22 Dec 2014, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.