February 2021 Visa Bulletin Family-Sponsored Predictions vs Actual Dates

Jan 2021 Mar 2021

Knowledge Date: January 31, 2021 · Methodology

Official February 2021 Visa Bulletin Family-Sponsored Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
F1	pred	15 Sep 2014 → 15 Sep 2014 0	22 Jul 2015 → 22 Jul 2015 0	15 Sep 2014 → 15 Sep 2014 0	22 Jul 2015 → 22 Jul 2015 0	15 Sep 2014 → 15 Sep 2014 0	22 Jul 2015 → 22 Jul 2015 0	15 Jan 1998 → 15 Jan 1998 0	22 Feb 2000 → 22 Feb 2000 0	01 Jan 2012 → 01 Jan 2012 0	08 Oct 2012 → 08 Oct 2012 0
F1	real	15 Sep 2014 0 exact	08 Aug 2015 ↑ 17d -17d	15 Sep 2014 0 exact	08 Aug 2015 ↑ 17d -17d	15 Sep 2014 0 exact	08 Aug 2015 ↑ 17d -17d	22 Jan 1998 ↑ 7d -7d	01 Mar 2000 ↑ 8d -8d	01 Jan 2012 0 exact	22 Oct 2012 ↑ 14d -14d
F2A	pred	-	01 Aug 2020 → 01 Aug 2020 0	-	01 Aug 2020 → 01 Aug 2020 0	-	01 Aug 2020 → 01 Aug 2020 0	-	01 Aug 2020 → 01 Aug 2020 0	-	01 Aug 2020 → 01 Aug 2020 0
F2A	real	Current	01 Jan 2021 ↑ 5m -153d	Current	01 Jan 2021 ↑ 5m -153d	Current	01 Jan 2021 ↑ 5m -153d	Current	01 Jan 2021 ↑ 5m -153d	Current	01 Jan 2021 ↑ 5m -153d
F2B	pred	08 Jul 2015 → 08 Jul 2015 0	01 May 2016 → 01 May 2016 0	08 Jul 2015 → 08 Jul 2015 0	01 May 2016 → 01 May 2016 0	08 Jul 2015 → 08 Jul 2015 0	01 May 2016 → 01 May 2016 0	01 May 1999 → 01 May 1999 0	01 Dec 1999 → 01 Dec 1999 0	15 Aug 2011 → 15 Aug 2011 0	01 Apr 2012 → 01 Apr 2012 0
F2B	real	15 Jul 2015 ↑ 7d -7d	22 May 2016 ↑ 21d -21d	15 Jul 2015 ↑ 7d -7d	22 May 2016 ↑ 21d -21d	15 Jul 2015 ↑ 7d -7d	22 May 2016 ↑ 21d -21d	01 Jun 1999 ↑ 1m -31d	22 Dec 1999 ↑ 21d -21d	15 Aug 2011 0 exact	15 Apr 2012 ↑ 14d -14d
F3	pred	08 Jul 2008 → 08 Jul 2008 0	01 Jun 2009 → 01 Jun 2009 0	08 Jul 2008 → 08 Jul 2008 0	01 Jun 2009 → 01 Jun 2009 0	08 Jul 2008 → 08 Jul 2008 0	01 Jun 2009 → 01 Jun 2009 0	22 Aug 1996 → 22 Aug 1996 0	15 Aug 2000 → 15 Aug 2000 0	01 Mar 2002 → 01 Mar 2002 0	22 Dec 2002 → 22 Dec 2002 0
F3	real	15 Jul 2008 ↑ 7d -7d	22 Jun 2009 ↑ 21d -21d	15 Jul 2008 ↑ 7d -7d	22 Jun 2009 ↑ 21d -21d	15 Jul 2008 ↑ 7d -7d	22 Jun 2009 ↑ 21d -21d	01 Sep 1996 ↑ 10d -10d	08 Sep 2000 ↑ 24d -24d	01 Mar 2002 0 exact	08 Jan 2003 ↑ 17d -17d
F4	pred	08 Oct 2006 → 08 Oct 2006 0	15 Sep 2007 → 15 Sep 2007 0	08 Oct 2006 → 08 Oct 2006 0	15 Sep 2007 → 15 Sep 2007 0	15 Mar 2005 → 15 Mar 2005 0	22 Nov 2005 → 22 Nov 2005 0	01 Jul 1998 → 01 Jul 1998 0	22 Apr 1999 → 22 Apr 1999 0	01 Feb 2002 → 01 Feb 2002 0	01 Sep 2002 → 01 Sep 2002 0
F4	real	15 Oct 2006 ↑ 7d -7d	01 Oct 2007 ↑ 16d -16d	15 Oct 2006 ↑ 7d -7d	01 Oct 2007 ↑ 16d -16d	15 Mar 2005 0 exact	01 Dec 2005 ↑ 9d -9d	08 Jul 1998 ↑ 7d -7d	08 May 1999 ↑ 16d -16d	01 Feb 2002 0 exact	01 Oct 2002 ↑ 1m -30d

Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details

This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for February 2021, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for November 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Family-Sponsored

How our February 2021 forecast scored Typical miss ±28 days across 45 scored dates (worst 153d).

Model averaged 27.5d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 27.5d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 45 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the November 2026 bulletin →

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February 2021 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

What is the F1 Final Action Date for India in February 2021?

In the February 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official F1 India Final Action Date is 15 Sep 2014, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the F1 Final Action Date for Mexico in February 2021?

In the February 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official F1 Mexico Final Action Date is 22 Jan 1998, an advance of 7d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the F1 Final Action Date for the Philippines in February 2021?

In the February 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official F1 the Philippines Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2012, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the F2A Final Action Date for India in February 2021?

In the February 2021 Visa Bulletin, F2A India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the F2A Final Action Date for Mexico in February 2021?

In the February 2021 Visa Bulletin, F2A Mexico is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the F2A Final Action Date for the Philippines in February 2021?

In the February 2021 Visa Bulletin, F2A the Philippines is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.