January 2009 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Official January 2009 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-2	pred	-	-	01 Jun 2004 → 01 Jun 2004 0 Movement Likely	-	01 Jun 2003 → 01 Jun 2003 0 Movement Likely	-	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	Current	-	08 Jul 2004 ↑ 1m -37d	-	01 Jul 2003 ↑ 1m -30d	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-3	pred	01 May 2005 → 01 May 2005 0	-	01 Feb 2002 → 01 Feb 2002 0 Movement Likely	-	01 Oct 2001 → 01 Oct 2001 0 Stable	-	01 Sep 2002 → 01 Sep 2002 0	-	01 May 2005 → 01 May 2005 0	-
EB-3	real	01 May 2005 0 exact	-	01 Jun 2002 ↑ 4m -120d	-	15 Oct 2001 ↑ 14d -14d	-	15 Nov 2002 ↑ 2m -75d	-	01 May 2005 0 exact	-
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-

How our January 2009 forecast scored Typical miss ±39 days across 7 scored dates (worst 120d).

EB-2: ±34d EB-3: ±42d

Model averaged 39.4d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 39.4d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 7 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →

January 2009 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the January 2009 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 1m to 01 Jul 2003 in the January 2009 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in January 2009?

In the January 2009 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in January 2009?

In the January 2009 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in January 2009?

In the January 2009 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 01 Jul 2003, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in January 2009?

In the January 2009 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 08 Jul 2004, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in January 2009?

In the January 2009 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 15 Oct 2001, an advance of 14d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.