U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

January 2023 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: December 31, 2022 · Methodology

Official January 2023 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
Current → 01 Dec 2022
Current → 01 Dec 2022
Current → 20 Dec 2022
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 19 Dec 2022
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Jan 2023
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Dec 2022
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Dec 2022
Current → 01 Dec 2022
Current → 01 Dec 2022
Current → 01 Dec 2022
real
Current
Current
01 Feb 2022 +322d
01 Jun 2022 +201d
01 Feb 2022 +334d
01 Jun 2022 +183d
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-2 pred
01 Nov 2022 → 01 Nov 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
08 Jun 2019 → 20 Jun 2019 ↑ 12d
AdvancingStable
08 Jul 2019 → 08 Jul 2019 0
Stable
08 Oct 2011 → 08 Oct 2011 0
Stable
01 May 2012 → 01 May 2012 0
Stable
01 Nov 2022 → 01 Nov 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
01 Nov 2022 → 01 Nov 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
real
01 Nov 2022 0 exact
01 Dec 2022 0 exact
08 Jun 2019 0 +12d
08 Jul 2019 0 exact
08 Oct 2011 0 exact
01 May 2012 0 exact
01 Nov 2022 0 exact
01 Dec 2022 0 exact
01 Nov 2022 0 exact
01 Dec 2022 0 exact
EB-3 pred
Current → 01 Dec 2022
Current → 01 Dec 2022
01 Aug 2018 → 19 Aug 2018 ↑ 18d
AdvancingStable
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
Stable
15 Jun 2012 → 15 Jun 2012 0
Stable
01 Aug 2012 → 01 Aug 2012 0
Stable
Current → 01 Dec 2022
Current → 01 Dec 2022
Current → 01 Dec 2022
Current → 01 Dec 2022
real
Current
Current
01 Aug 2018 0 +18d
01 Sep 2018 0 exact
15 Jun 2012 0 exact
01 Aug 2012 0 exact
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-4 exp pred
22 Jun 2022 → 22 Jun 2022 0
22 Jul 2022 → 22 Jul 2022 0
22 Jun 2022 → 22 Jun 2022 0
22 Jul 2022 → 22 Jul 2022 0
22 Jun 2022 → 22 Jun 2022 0
22 Jul 2022 → 22 Jul 2022 0
15 Sep 2020 → 15 Sep 2020 0
15 Oct 2020 → 15 Oct 2020 0
22 Jun 2022 → 22 Jun 2022 0
22 Jul 2022 → 22 Jul 2022 0
real
22 Jun 2022 0 exact
22 Jul 2022 0 exact
22 Jun 2022 0 exact
22 Jul 2022 0 exact
22 Jun 2022 0 exact
22 Jul 2022 0 exact
15 Sep 2020 0 exact
15 Oct 2020 0 exact
22 Jun 2022 0 exact
22 Jul 2022 0 exact
EB-5 pred
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
22 Mar 2015 → 01 Apr 2011 ↓ 48m
-
08 Nov 2019 → 01 Apr 2011 ↓ 104m
-
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
real
Current
Current
22 Mar 2015 0 -1451d
01 Jan 2016 0
08 Nov 2019 0 -3143d
08 Dec 2019 0
Current
Current
Current
Current
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for January 2023, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our January 2023 forecast scored Typical miss ±283 days across 20 scored dates (worst 3143d).
EB-1: ±260d EB-2: ±1d EB-3: ±4d EB-5: ±2297d

Model averaged 289.0d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 0.0d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 16 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
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January 2023 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the January 2023 Visa Bulletin?

No — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date held at 08 Oct 2011, unchanged from the prior month, in the January 2023 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in January 2023?

In the January 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 India Final Action Date is 01 Feb 2022. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in January 2023?

In the January 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 China Final Action Date is 01 Feb 2022. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in January 2023?

In the January 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 08 Oct 2011, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in January 2023?

In the January 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 08 Jun 2019, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in January 2023?

In the January 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 15 Jun 2012, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.