July 2006 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Official July 2006 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	01 Jul 2005 → 01 Jul 2005 0 Watch	-	01 Jan 2006 → 01 Jan 2006 0 Movement Likely	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	-	-	Current → Current	-	01 Jan 2006 0 exact	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-2	pred	-	-	01 Jul 2004 → 01 Jul 2004 0 Watch	-	01 Jan 2003 → 01 Jan 2003 0 Stable	-	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	-	-	01 Mar 2005 ↑ 8m -243d	-	01 Jan 2003 0 exact	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-3	pred	01 Jul 2001 → 01 Jul 2001 0	-	01 Jul 2001 → 01 Jul 2001 0 Watch	-	08 Apr 2001 → 08 Apr 2001 0 Stable	-	22 Apr 2001 → 22 Apr 2001 0	-	01 Jul 2001 → 01 Jul 2001 0	-
EB-3	real	-	-	01 Oct 2001 ↑ 3m -92d	-	15 Apr 2001 ↑ 7d -7d	-	22 Apr 2001 0 exact	-	01 Oct 2001 ↑ 3m -92d	-
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	-	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-

How our July 2006 forecast scored Typical miss ±62 days across 7 scored dates (worst 243d).

EB-1: ±0d EB-2: ±122d EB-3: ±48d

Model averaged 62.0d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 62.0d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 7 scored dates.

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July 2006 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the July 2006 Visa Bulletin?

No — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date held at 01 Jan 2003, unchanged from the prior month, in the July 2006 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in July 2006?

In the July 2006 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2006, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in July 2006?

In the July 2006 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in July 2006?

In the July 2006 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2003, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in July 2006?

In the July 2006 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 01 Mar 2005, an advance of 8m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in July 2006?

In the July 2006 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 15 Apr 2001, an advance of 7d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.