June 2011 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

How our June 2011 forecast scored Typical miss ±53 days across 7 scored dates (worst 106d).

EB-2: ±90d EB-3: ±38d

Model averaged 53.0d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 53.0d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 7 scored dates.

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Official June 2011 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-2	pred	-	-	01 Aug 2006 → 01 Aug 2006 0 Movement Likely	-	01 Jul 2006 → 01 Jul 2006 0 Movement Likely	-	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	Current	-	15 Oct 2006 ↑ 2m -75d	-	15 Oct 2006 ↑ 3m -106d	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-3	pred	22 Aug 2005 → 22 Aug 2005 0	-	15 Apr 2004 → 15 Apr 2004 0 Movement Likely	-	15 Apr 2002 → 15 Apr 2002 0 Stable	-	08 Sep 2004 → 08 Sep 2004 0	-	22 Aug 2005 → 22 Aug 2005 0	-
EB-3	real	15 Sep 2005 ↑ 24d -24d	-	15 May 2004 ↑ 1m -30d	-	22 Apr 2002 ↑ 7d -7d	-	22 Dec 2004 ↑ 3m -105d	-	15 Sep 2005 ↑ 24d -24d	-
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

June 2011 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the June 2011 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 3m to 15 Oct 2006 in the June 2011 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in June 2011?

In the June 2011 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in June 2011?

In the June 2011 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in June 2011?

In the June 2011 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 15 Oct 2006, an advance of 3m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in June 2011?

In the June 2011 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 15 Oct 2006, an advance of 2m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in June 2011?

In the June 2011 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 22 Apr 2002, an advance of 7d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.