March 2011 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Official March 2011 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-2	pred	-	-	01 Jul 2006 → 01 Jul 2006 0 Stable	-	08 May 2006 → 08 May 2006 0 Stable	-	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	Current	-	08 Jul 2006 ↑ 7d -7d	-	08 May 2006 0 exact	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-3	pred	01 Apr 2005 → 01 Apr 2005 0	-	01 Jan 2004 → 01 Jan 2004 0 Stable	-	22 Feb 2002 → 22 Feb 2002 0 Stable	-	08 Jul 2003 → 08 Jul 2003 0	-	01 Apr 2005 → 01 Apr 2005 0	-
EB-3	real	01 Jul 2005 ↑ 3m -91d	-	22 Jan 2004 ↑ 21d -21d	-	15 Mar 2002 ↑ 21d -21d	-	08 Jan 2004 ↑ 6m -184d	-	01 Jul 2005 ↑ 3m -91d	-
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-

How our March 2011 forecast scored Typical miss ±59 days across 7 scored dates (worst 184d).

EB-2: ±4d EB-3: ±82d

Model averaged 59.3d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 59.3d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 7 scored dates.

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March 2011 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the March 2011 Visa Bulletin?

No — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date held at 08 May 2006, unchanged from the prior month, in the March 2011 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in March 2011?

In the March 2011 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in March 2011?

In the March 2011 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in March 2011?

In the March 2011 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 08 May 2006, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in March 2011?

In the March 2011 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 08 Jul 2006, an advance of 7d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in March 2011?

In the March 2011 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 15 Mar 2002, an advance of 21d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.