Name: U.S. Work-Visa & Green-Card Labor Market Data
Creator: Vladimir Yakunin
License: https://visa-bulletin.us/methodology/

Official March 2016 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current
EB-2	pred	-	-	? → 01 Jan 2010 AdvancingStable	01 Jan 2013 → 01 Jan 2013 0 Stable	? → 15 Feb 2005 AdvancingStable	01 Jul 2009 → 01 Jul 2009 0 Watch	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	-	Current	-	01 Jun 2013 ↑ 5m -151d	-	01 Jul 2009 0 exact	-	Current	-	Current
EB-3	pred	? → 01 Nov 2012	01 Jan 2016 → 01 Jan 2016 0	? → 01 Jun 2010 AdvancingStable	01 Oct 2013 → 01 Oct 2013 0 Stable	? → 01 Dec 2003 AdvancingStable	01 Jul 2005 → 01 Jul 2005 0 Stable	? → 01 Nov 2012	01 Jan 2016 → 01 Jan 2016 0	? → 01 Nov 2012	01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0
EB-3	real	-	Current → Current	-	01 May 2015 ↑ 19m -577d	-	01 Jul 2005 0 exact	-	Current → Current	-	01 Jan 2010 0 exact
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

How our March 2016 forecast scored Typical miss ±146 days across 5 scored dates (worst 577d).

EB-2: ±76d EB-3: ±192d

Model averaged 145.6d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 145.6d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 5 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →

March 2016 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates