May 2015 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Official May 2015 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-2	pred	-	-	01 Apr 2011 → 20 Jan 2010 ↓ 14m AdvancingMovement Likely	-	01 Sep 2007 → 15 Feb 2005 ↓ 30m AdvancingMovement Likely	-	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	Current	-	01 Jun 2012 ↑ 14m -863d	-	15 Apr 2008 ↑ 7m -1155d	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-3	pred	01 Oct 2014 → 01 Nov 2012 ↓ 23m	-	01 Jan 2011 → 16 Jun 2010 ↓ 6m AdvancingStable	-	08 Jan 2004 → 15 Dec 2003 ↓ 24d AdvancingStable	-	01 Oct 2014 → 01 Nov 2012 ↓ 23m	-	01 Oct 2014 → 01 Nov 2012 ↓ 23m	-
EB-3	real	01 Jan 2015 ↑ 3m -791d	-	01 May 2011 ↑ 4m -319d	-	15 Jan 2004 ↑ 7d -31d	-	01 Jan 2015 ↑ 3m -791d	-	01 Jul 2007 ↓ 88m +1950d	-
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

How our May 2015 forecast scored Typical miss ±843 days across 7 scored dates (worst 1950d).

EB-2: ±1009d EB-3: ±776d

Model averaged 842.9d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 516.3d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 1 of 7 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →

May 2015 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the May 2015 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 7m to 15 Apr 2008 in the May 2015 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in May 2015?

In the May 2015 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in May 2015?

In the May 2015 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in May 2015?

In the May 2015 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 15 Apr 2008, an advance of 7m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in May 2015?

In the May 2015 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 01 Jun 2012, an advance of 14m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in May 2015?

In the May 2015 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 15 Jan 2004, an advance of 7d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.