Official May 2016 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current
EB-2	pred	-	-	? → 01 Jan 2010 AdvancingStable	01 Jun 2013 → 01 Jun 2013 0 Movement Likely	? → 15 Feb 2005 AdvancingWatch	01 Jul 2009 → 01 Jul 2009 0 Movement Likely	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	-	Current	-	01 Jun 2013 0 exact	-	01 Jul 2009 0 exact	-	Current	-	Current
EB-3	pred	? → 01 Nov 2012	-	? → 01 Jun 2010 AdvancingStable	01 May 2015 → 01 May 2015 0 Movement Likely	? → 01 Dec 2003 AdvancingStable	01 Jul 2005 → 01 Jul 2005 0 Stable	? → 01 Nov 2012	-	? → 01 Nov 2012	01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0
EB-3	real	-	Current	-	01 May 2015 0 exact	-	01 Jul 2005 0 exact	-	Current	-	01 Jan 2010 0 exact
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for May 2016, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based

How our May 2016 forecast scored Typical miss ±0 days across 5 scored dates.

EB-2: ±0d EB-3: ±0d

Model averaged 0.0d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 0.0d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 5 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →

May 2016 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates