U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

May 2021 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: April 30, 2021 · Methodology

Official May 2021 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Apr 2021
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Apr 2021
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Apr 2021
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
real
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-2 pred
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
01 Sep 2016 → 16 Sep 2016 ↑ 15d
AdvancingWatch
01 Jan 2017 → 01 Jan 2017 0
Movement Likely
01 May 2010 → 03 May 2010 ↑ 2d
AdvancingStable
15 May 2011 → 15 May 2011 0
Movement Likely
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
real
Current
Current
01 Dec 2016 ↑ 3m -76d
01 Jul 2017 ↑ 6m -181d
01 Aug 2010 ↑ 3m -90d
15 May 2011 0 exact
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-3 pred
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
15 Mar 2018 → 25 Mar 2018 ↑ 10d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Aug 2018 → 01 Aug 2018 0
Movement Likely
01 Sep 2010 → 20 Sep 2010 ↑ 19d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Jan 2014 → 01 Jan 2014 0
Movement Likely
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
real
Current
Current
15 May 2018 ↑ 2m -51d
01 Sep 2018 ↑ 1m -31d
01 Feb 2011 ↑ 5m -134d
01 Jan 2014 0 exact
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-4 exp pred
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
01 Feb 2019 → 01 Feb 2019 0
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
Current → 01 Apr 2021
real
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
15 Mar 2019 ↑ 1m -42d
Current
Current
Current
EB-5 pred
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
real - - - - - - - - - -
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for May 2021, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our May 2021 forecast scored Typical miss ±70 days across 8 scored dates (worst 181d).
EB-2: ±87d EB-3: ±54d

Model averaged 70.4d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 76.1d — beating the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 4 of 8 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
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May 2021 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the May 2021 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 3m to 01 Aug 2010 in the May 2021 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in May 2021?

In the May 2021 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in May 2021?

In the May 2021 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in May 2021?

In the May 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 01 Aug 2010, an advance of 3m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in May 2021?

In the May 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 01 Dec 2016, an advance of 3m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in May 2021?

In the May 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 Feb 2011, an advance of 5m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.