November 2026 Visa Bulletin Predictions

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

November 2026 Visa Bulletin Predictions

The Bulletin Forecast Model's projection for the upcoming November 2026 U.S. Visa Bulletin, based on the latest (October 2026) edition. These are model predictions — the State Department's official numbers are published mid-month.

EB-2 India
Predicted Final Action
November 1, 2013
80% range: Sep 7, 2013 – Feb 27, 2014
no change vs current
Stable · 31%
Filing: January 15, 2015
EB-3 India
Predicted Final Action
January 1, 2014
80% range: Dec 18, 2013 – Mar 17, 2014
no change vs current
Stable · 37%
Filing: January 15, 2015
EB-2 China
Predicted Final Action
October 1, 2021
80% range: Aug 24, 2021 – Dec 1, 2021
no change vs current
Stable · 28%
Filing: January 1, 2023
EB-3 China
Predicted Final Action
January 8, 2022
80% range: Nov 24, 2021 – May 31, 2022
no change vs current
Stable · 31%
Filing: April 1, 2024

Badges show the model's estimated probability of a more-than-50-day move next month. “80% range” is the model's calibrated 80% confidence interval.

Employment-based Final Action forecast

Predicted Final Action Date by category and country for the November 2026 bulletin. Movement is vs the current (October 2026) cutoff.

Category Other CountriesChinaIndiaMexicoPhilippines
EB-1 Current July 1, 2023 80% range: May 31, 2023 – Aug 16, 2023 February 1, 2023 80% range: Jan 1, 2023 – Oct 2, 2026 Current Current
EB-2 January 1, 2025 baseline October 1, 2021 80% range: Aug 24, 2021 – Dec 1, 2021 November 1, 2013 80% range: Sep 7, 2013 – Feb 27, 2014 January 1, 2025 baseline January 1, 2025 baseline
EB-3 May 15, 2024 baseline January 8, 2022 80% range: Nov 24, 2021 – May 31, 2022 January 1, 2014 80% range: Dec 18, 2013 – Mar 17, 2014 May 15, 2024 baseline August 15, 2023 baseline
EB-4 December 15, 2022 baseline December 15, 2022 baseline December 15, 2022 baseline December 15, 2022 baseline December 15, 2022 baseline
EB-5 Current December 1, 2016 baseline December 1, 2023 baseline Current Current

A date with no +/− delta is forecast unchanged from the current bulletin. baseline = no dedicated model for this series — shown as a no-change baseline. The 80% range under a modeled date is the model's calibrated 80% confidence interval.

Family-sponsored Final Action forecast

Category Other CountriesChinaIndiaMexicoPhilippines
F1 January 22, 2020 baseline January 22, 2020 baseline January 22, 2020 baseline September 8, 2008 baseline November 1, 2013 baseline
F2A September 22, 2026 baseline September 22, 2026 baseline September 22, 2026 baseline March 22, 2026 baseline September 22, 2026 baseline
F2B August 22, 2019 baseline August 22, 2019 baseline August 22, 2019 baseline May 15, 2010 baseline October 1, 2013 baseline
F3 October 22, 2014 baseline October 22, 2014 baseline October 22, 2014 baseline July 1, 2001 baseline July 22, 2006 baseline
F4 October 22, 2011 baseline October 22, 2011 baseline December 15, 2006 baseline April 22, 2001 baseline May 15, 2008 baseline

A date with no +/− delta is forecast unchanged from the current bulletin. baseline = no dedicated model for this series — shown as a no-change baseline. The 80% range under a modeled date is the model's calibrated 80% confidence interval.

How this forecast is made. An ensemble of statistical models reads the State Department's historical movement, per-country limits, and fiscal-year dynamics to project each category's next cutoff (based on data through the October 2026 bulletin). Read the full methodology →

Frequently asked questions

When does the November 2026 Visa Bulletin come out?
The U.S. Department of State publishes each Visa Bulletin in the middle of the prior month — so the November 2026 bulletin is typically released in the second or third week of the preceding month. This page is updated with our model's forecast until the official numbers are published.
Will EB-2 India advance in the November 2026 Visa Bulletin?
Our model forecasts the EB-2 India Final Action Date for the November 2026 bulletin at November 1, 2013 (no change vs the current bulletin). Oversubscribed categories move slowly and can retrogress; treat this as a data-driven projection, not a guarantee.
How accurate are these Visa Bulletin predictions?
The model is backtested against every published bulletin since 2016. Accuracy varies by category — stable, advancing series are the most predictable, while demand- and policy-driven movements (and retrogressions) are inherently hard to call. See the methodology and the historical accuracy archive for the track record.
What is the difference between Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing?
Final Action Dates govern when USCIS or the consulate can approve the green card. Dates for Filing govern when you may submit the application (Form I-485 / DS-260), and are usually ahead of Final Action Dates.

Per-country priority dates

EB-2 India · EB-3 India · EB-2 China · EB-3 China · India dashboard · China dashboard