October 2008 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Official October 2008 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-2	pred	-	-	01 Aug 2006 → 01 Aug 2006 0 Movement Likely	-	01 Aug 2006 → 01 Aug 2006 0 Movement Likely	-	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	Current	-	01 Apr 2004 ↓ 28m +852d	-	01 Apr 2003 ↓ 40m +1218d	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-3	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-3	real	01 Jan 2005	-	01 Oct 2001	-	01 Jul 2001	-	01 Jul 2002	-	01 Jan 2005	-
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-

How our October 2008 forecast scored Typical miss ±1035 days across 2 scored dates (worst 1218d).

EB-2: ±1035d

Model averaged 1035.0d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 1035.0d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 2 scored dates.

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October 2008 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the October 2008 Visa Bulletin?

No — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date retrogressed 40m to 01 Apr 2003 in the October 2008 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in October 2008?

In the October 2008 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in October 2008?

In the October 2008 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in October 2008?

In the October 2008 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 01 Apr 2003, a retrogression of 40m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in October 2008?

In the October 2008 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 01 Apr 2004, a retrogression of 28m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in October 2008?

In the October 2008 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 Jul 2001. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.