October 2016 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Official October 2016 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0 Movement Likely	-	01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0 Movement Likely	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	Current	Current	Current → Current	Current	Current → Current	Current	Current	Current	Current	Current
EB-2	pred	01 Feb 2014 → 01 Feb 2014 0	-	01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0 Movement Likely	01 Jun 2013 → 01 Jun 2013 0 Movement Likely	22 Feb 2005 → 22 Feb 2005 0 Stable	01 Jul 2009 → 01 Jul 2009 0 Watch	01 Feb 2014 → 01 Feb 2014 0	-	01 Feb 2014 → 01 Feb 2014 0	-
EB-2	real	Current → Current	Current	15 Feb 2012 ↑ 25m -775d	01 Mar 2013 ↓ 3m +92d	15 Jan 2007 ↑ 23m -692d	22 Apr 2009 ↓ 2m +70d	Current → Current	Current	Current → Current	Current
EB-3	pred	01 May 2016 → 01 May 2016 0	-	01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0 Movement Likely	01 May 2015 → 01 May 2015 0 Watch	15 Feb 2005 → 15 Feb 2005 0 Stable	01 Jul 2005 → 01 Jul 2005 0 Stable	01 May 2016 → 01 May 2016 0	-	01 Jul 2010 → 01 Jul 2010 0	01 Jan 2013 → 01 Jan 2013 0
EB-3	real	01 Jun 2016 ↑ 1m -31d	Current	22 Jan 2013 ↑ 37m -1117d	01 May 2014 ↓ 12m +365d	01 Mar 2005 ↑ 14d -14d	01 Jul 2005 0 exact	01 Jun 2016 ↑ 1m -31d	Current	01 Dec 2010 ↑ 5m -153d	01 Sep 2013 ↑ 8m -243d
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0	-	01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	Current	Current	Current	Current	Current → Current	Current	Current → Current	Current	Current	Current
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

How our October 2016 forecast scored Typical miss ±299 days across 12 scored dates (worst 1117d).

EB-2: ±407d EB-3: ±244d

Model averaged 298.6d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 298.6d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 12 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →

October 2016 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the October 2016 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 23m to 15 Jan 2007 in the October 2016 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in October 2016?

In the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in October 2016?

In the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in October 2016?

In the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 15 Jan 2007, an advance of 23m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in October 2016?

In the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 15 Feb 2012, an advance of 25m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in October 2016?

In the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 Mar 2005, an advance of 14d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.