U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

October 2018 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: September 30, 2018 · Methodology

Official October 2018 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
01 Jun 2016 → 01 Jun 2016 0
Current → 01 Sep 2018
01 Jan 2012 → 01 Jan 2012 0
Movement Likely
Current → 01 Sep 2018
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Jan 2012 → 01 Jan 2012 0
Movement Likely
Current → 01 Sep 2018
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Jun 2016 → 01 Jun 2016 0
Current → 01 Sep 2018
01 Jun 2016 → 01 Jun 2016 0
Current → 01 Sep 2018
real
01 Apr 2017 ↑ 10m -304d
01 Jun 2018 +92d
01 Jun 2016 ↑ 53m -1613d
01 Oct 2017 +335d
01 Jun 2016 ↑ 53m -1613d
01 Oct 2017 +335d
01 Apr 2017 ↑ 10m -304d
01 Jun 2018 +92d
01 Apr 2017 ↑ 10m -304d
01 Jun 2018 +92d
EB-2 pred
01 Jan 2013 → 01 Jan 2013 0
Current → 01 Sep 2018
01 Jan 2013 → 01 Jan 2013 0
Movement Likely
01 Apr 2015 → 01 Apr 2015 0
Movement Likely
01 Jan 2007 → 01 Jan 2007 0
Movement Likely
22 May 2009 → 22 May 2009 0
Stable
01 Jan 2013 → 01 Jan 2013 0
Current → 01 Sep 2018
01 Jan 2013 → 01 Jan 2013 0
Current → 01 Sep 2018
real
Current → Current
Current
01 Apr 2015 ↑ 27m -820d
15 Jun 2015 ↑ 2m -75d
26 Mar 2009 ↑ 27m -815d
22 May 2009 0 exact
Current → Current
Current
Current → Current
Current
EB-3 pred
01 Nov 2016 → 01 Nov 2016 0
Current → 01 Sep 2018
01 Nov 2014 → 01 Nov 2014 0
Movement Likely
01 Jan 2016 → 01 Jan 2016 0
Movement Likely
01 Jan 2003 → 01 Jan 2003 0
Stable
01 May 2009 → 01 May 2009 0
Stable
01 Nov 2016 → 01 Nov 2016 0
Current → 01 Sep 2018
01 Nov 2016 → 01 Nov 2016 0
01 Jul 2017 → 01 Jul 2017 0
real
Current → Current
Current
01 Jun 2015 ↑ 7m -212d
08 Aug 2015 ↓ 4m +146d
01 Jan 2009 ↑ 73m -2192d
01 Oct 2009 ↑ 5m -153d
Current → Current
Current
01 Jun 2017 ↑ 7m -212d
01 Jul 2017 0 exact
EB-4 exp pred
Current → 01 Sep 2018
Current → 01 Sep 2018
Current → 01 Sep 2018
Current → 01 Sep 2018
15 Feb 2016 → 15 Feb 2016 0
Current → 01 Sep 2018
15 Feb 2016 → 15 Feb 2016 0
Current → 01 Sep 2018
Current → 01 Sep 2018
Current → 01 Sep 2018
real
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current → Current
Current
22 Oct 2016 ↑ 8m -250d
Current
Current
Current
EB-5 pred
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
real - - - - - - - - - -
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for October 2018, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our October 2018 forecast scored Typical miss ±485 days across 20 scored dates (worst 2192d).
EB-1: ±508d EB-2: ±428d EB-3: ±486d

Model averaged 584.2d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 584.2d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 15 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
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October 2018 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the October 2018 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 27m to 26 Mar 2009 in the October 2018 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in October 2018?

In the October 2018 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 India Final Action Date is 01 Jun 2016, an advance of 53m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in October 2018?

In the October 2018 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 China Final Action Date is 01 Jun 2016, an advance of 53m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in October 2018?

In the October 2018 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 26 Mar 2009, an advance of 27m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in October 2018?

In the October 2018 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 01 Apr 2015, an advance of 27m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in October 2018?

In the October 2018 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2009, an advance of 73m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.