U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

October 2019 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: September 30, 2019 · Methodology

Official October 2019 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
01 Oct 2017 → 01 Oct 2017 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Jan 2014 → 01 Jan 2014 0
Movement Likely
01 Oct 2017 → 01 Oct 2017 0
Movement Likely
? → 01 Jan 2015
VolatileMovement Likely
01 Oct 2017 → 01 Oct 2017 0
Movement Likely
01 Oct 2017 → 01 Oct 2017 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2017 → 01 Oct 2017 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
real
22 Apr 2018 ↑ 6m -203d
01 Jul 2019 ↑ 10m -303d
01 Nov 2016 ↑ 34m -1035d
01 Sep 2017 ↓ 1m +30d
01 Jan 2015 exact
15 Mar 2017 ↓ 6m +200d
22 Apr 2018 ↑ 6m -203d
01 Jul 2019 ↑ 10m -303d
22 Apr 2018 ↑ 6m -203d
01 Jul 2019 ↑ 10m -303d
EB-2 pred
01 Jan 2018 → 01 Jan 2018 0
Current → 01 Sep 2019
01 Jan 2017 → 23 Jan 2018 ↑ 12m
AdvancingStable
01 Jun 2017 → 23 Jun 2017 ↑ 22d
AdvancingMovement Likely
08 May 2009 → 08 May 2009 0
Stable
01 Jun 2009 → 01 Jun 2009 0
Movement Likely
01 Jan 2018 → 01 Jan 2018 0
Current → 01 Sep 2019
01 Jan 2018 → 01 Jan 2018 0
Current → 01 Sep 2019
real
Current → Current
Current
01 Jan 2015 ↓ 24m +1118d
01 Aug 2016 ↓ 10m +326d
12 May 2009 ↑ 4d -4d
01 Jul 2009 ↑ 1m -30d
Current → Current
Current
Current → Current
Current
EB-3 pred
01 Jul 2016 → 01 Jul 2016 0
Current → 01 Sep 2019
01 Jan 2014 → 01 Jan 2014 0
Movement Likely
01 Jun 2016 → 01 Jun 2016 0
Movement Likely
01 Jul 2005 → 01 Jul 2005 0
Movement Likely
01 Apr 2010 → 01 Apr 2010 0
Movement Likely
01 Jul 2016 → 01 Jul 2016 0
Current → 01 Sep 2019
01 Jul 2016 → 01 Jul 2016 0
Current → 01 Sep 2019
real
Current → Current
Current
01 Nov 2015 ↑ 22m -669d
01 Mar 2017 ↑ 9m -273d
01 Jan 2009 ↑ 42m -1280d
01 Feb 2010 ↓ 1m +59d
Current → Current
Current
15 Oct 2017 ↑ 15m -471d
Current
EB-4 exp pred
? → 01 Aug 2019
Current → 01 Sep 2019
? → 01 Aug 2019
Current → 01 Sep 2019
? → 01 Aug 2019
Current → 01 Sep 2019
? → 01 Jul 2016
Current → 01 Sep 2019
? → 01 Aug 2019
Current → 01 Sep 2019
real
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
01 May 2017 -304d
Current
Current
Current
EB-5 pred
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
real - - - - - - - - - -
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for October 2019, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our October 2019 forecast scored Typical miss ±369 days across 19 scored dates (worst 1280d).
EB-1: ±278d EB-2: ±370d EB-3: ±550d

Model averaged 389.6d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 366.9d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 18 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
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October 2019 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the October 2019 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 4d to 12 May 2009 in the October 2019 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in October 2019?

In the October 2019 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2015. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in October 2019?

In the October 2019 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 China Final Action Date is 01 Nov 2016, an advance of 34m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in October 2019?

In the October 2019 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 12 May 2009, an advance of 4d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in October 2019?

In the October 2019 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2015, a retrogression of 24m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in October 2019?

In the October 2019 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2009, an advance of 42m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.