U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

October 2020 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: September 30, 2020 · Methodology

Official October 2020 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
01 Mar 2018 → 15 May 2020 ↑ 26m
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Jul 2018 → 01 Jul 2018 0
Movement Likely
01 Mar 2018 → 31 Jul 2020 ↑ 29m
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Jul 2018 → 01 Jul 2018 0
Stable
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
real
Current
Current
01 Jun 2018 ↑ 3m +714d
01 Sep 2020 ↑ 26m -793d
01 Jun 2018 ↑ 3m +791d
01 Sep 2020 ↑ 26m -793d
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-2 pred
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
15 Jan 2016 → 18 Jan 2016 ↑ 3d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Aug 2016 → 01 Aug 2016 0
Movement Likely
08 Jul 2009 → 21 Jul 2009 ↑ 13d
AdvancingMovement Likely
15 Aug 2009 → 15 Aug 2009 0
Stable
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
real
Current
Current
01 Mar 2016 ↑ 1m -43d
01 Oct 2016 ↑ 2m -61d
01 Sep 2009 ↑ 1m -42d
15 May 2011 ↑ 21m -638d
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-3 pred
01 Apr 2019 → 01 Apr 2019 0
01 Apr 2020 → 01 Apr 2020 0
15 Feb 2017 → 15 Jan 2018 ↑ 11m
AdvancingWatch
01 May 2017 → 01 May 2017 0
Movement Likely
01 Oct 2009 → 01 Sep 2011 ↑ 23m
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Feb 2010 → 01 Feb 2010 0
Stable
01 Apr 2019 → 01 Apr 2019 0
01 Apr 2020 → 01 Apr 2020 0
01 Apr 2019 → 01 Apr 2019 0
01 Apr 2020 → 01 Apr 2020 0
real
Current → Current
Current → Current
01 Jul 2017 ↑ 4m +198d
01 Jun 2018 ↑ 13m -396d
15 Jan 2010 ↑ 3m +594d
01 Jan 2015 ↑ 59m -1795d
Current → Current
Current → Current
Current → Current
Current → Current
EB-4 exp pred
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
15 Jun 2018 → 15 Jun 2018 0
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
Current → 01 Sep 2020
real
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
01 Sep 2018 ↑ 2m -78d
Current
Current
Current
EB-5 pred
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
real - - - - - - - - - -
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for October 2020, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our October 2020 forecast scored Typical miss ±572 days across 12 scored dates (worst 1795d).
EB-1: ±773d EB-2: ±196d EB-3: ±746d

Model averaged 571.5d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 416.9d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 2 of 12 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
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October 2020 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the October 2020 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 1m to 01 Sep 2009 in the October 2020 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in October 2020?

In the October 2020 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 India Final Action Date is 01 Jun 2018, an advance of 3m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in October 2020?

In the October 2020 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 China Final Action Date is 01 Jun 2018, an advance of 3m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in October 2020?

In the October 2020 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 01 Sep 2009, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in October 2020?

In the October 2020 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 01 Mar 2016, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in October 2020?

In the October 2020 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 15 Jan 2010, an advance of 3m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.