U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

October 2021 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: September 30, 2021 · Methodology

Official October 2021 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 31 Jan 2023
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Sep 2021
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 17 Oct 2021
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Sep 2021
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
real
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-2 pred
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
01 Jul 2018 → 24 Jul 2018 ↑ 23d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 ↑ 1m
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Sep 2011 → 28 Sep 2011 ↑ 27d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Dec 2011 → 16 Dec 2011 ↑ 15d
AdvancingStable
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
real
Current
Current
01 Jul 2018 0 +23d
01 Sep 2018 0 +30d
01 Sep 2011 0 +27d
08 Jul 2012 ↑ 7m -205d
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-3 pred
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
08 Jan 2019 → 24 Apr 2019 ↑ 3m
AdvancingStable
01 Jul 2019 → 14 Nov 2019 ↑ 4m
AdvancingWatch
01 Jan 2014 → 03 Oct 2015 ↑ 21m
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Mar 2014 → 16 May 2014 ↑ 2m
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
real
Current
Current
08 Jan 2019 0 +106d
15 Jan 2019 ↓ 5m +303d
01 Jan 2014 0 +640d
08 Jan 2014 ↓ 1m +128d
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-4 exp pred
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
01 Mar 2020 → 01 Mar 2020 0
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
Current → 01 Sep 2021
real
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
01 Mar 2020 0 exact
Current
Current
Current
EB-5 pred
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
real - - - - - - - - - -
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for October 2021, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our October 2021 forecast scored Typical miss ±183 days across 8 scored dates (worst 640d).
EB-2: ±71d EB-3: ±294d

Model averaged 182.8d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 54.9d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 1 of 8 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
Researching employers? Top Sponsors · Search Employers · Salary Database

October 2021 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the October 2021 Visa Bulletin?

No — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date held at 01 Sep 2011, unchanged from the prior month, in the October 2021 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in October 2021?

In the October 2021 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in October 2021?

In the October 2021 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in October 2021?

In the October 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 01 Sep 2011, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in October 2021?

In the October 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 01 Jul 2018, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in October 2021?

In the October 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2014, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.