U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

October 2024 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: September 30, 2024 · Methodology

Official October 2024 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
Current → 01 Sep 2024
Current → 01 Sep 2024
01 Nov 2022 → 16 Nov 2022 ↑ 15d
AdvancingWatch
01 Jan 2023 → 01 Jan 2023 0
Stable
01 Feb 2022 → 16 Feb 2022 ↑ 15d
AdvancingMovement Likely
08 Feb 2022 → 23 Feb 2022 ↑ 15d
AdvancingMovement Likely
Current → 01 Sep 2024
Current → 01 Sep 2024
Current → 01 Sep 2024
Current → 01 Sep 2024
real
Current
Current
08 Nov 2022 ↑ 7d +8d
01 Jan 2023 0 exact
01 Feb 2022 0 +15d
15 Apr 2022 ↑ 2m -51d
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-2 pred
15 Mar 2023 → 15 Mar 2023 0
22 Mar 2023 → 22 Mar 2023 0
01 Mar 2020 → 04 Apr 2020 ↑ 1m
AdvancingStable
01 Jun 2020 → 01 Jun 2020 0
Stable
15 Jul 2012 → 15 Jul 2012 0
Watch
22 Jul 2012 → 29 Jul 2012 ↑ 7d
AdvancingMovement Likely
15 Mar 2023 → 15 Mar 2023 0
22 Mar 2023 → 22 Mar 2023 0
15 Mar 2023 → 15 Mar 2023 0
22 Mar 2023 → 22 Mar 2023 0
real
15 Mar 2023 0 exact
01 Aug 2023 ↑ 4m -132d
22 Mar 2020 ↑ 21d +13d
01 Oct 2020 ↑ 4m -122d
15 Jul 2012 0 exact
01 Jan 2013 ↑ 5m -156d
15 Mar 2023 0 exact
01 Aug 2023 ↑ 4m -132d
15 Mar 2023 0 exact
01 Aug 2023 ↑ 4m -132d
EB-3 pred
01 Dec 2020 → 01 Dec 2020 0
01 Feb 2023 → 01 Feb 2023 0
01 Sep 2020 → 01 Sep 2020 0
Movement Likely
01 Jul 2021 → 01 Jul 2021 0
Movement Likely
22 Oct 2012 → 14 Nov 2012 ↑ 23d
AdvancingWatch
01 Nov 2012 → 01 Nov 2012 0
Stable
01 Dec 2020 → 01 Dec 2020 0
01 Feb 2023 → 01 Feb 2023 0
01 Dec 2020 → 01 Dec 2020 0
01 Jan 2023 → 01 Jan 2023 0
real
15 Nov 2022 ↑ 23m -714d
01 Mar 2023 ↑ 28d -28d
01 Apr 2020 ↓ 5m +153d
15 Nov 2020 ↓ 7m +228d
01 Nov 2012 ↑ 10d +13d
08 Jun 2013 ↑ 7m -219d
15 Nov 2022 ↑ 23m -714d
01 Mar 2023 ↑ 28d -28d
15 Nov 2022 ↑ 23m -714d
01 Mar 2023 ↑ 1m -59d
EB-4 exp pred
01 Jan 2021 → 01 Jan 2021 0
01 Feb 2021 → 01 Feb 2021 0
01 Jan 2021 → 01 Jan 2021 0
01 Feb 2021 → 01 Feb 2021 0
01 Jan 2021 → 01 Jan 2021 0
01 Feb 2021 → 01 Feb 2021 0
01 Jan 2021 → 01 Jan 2021 0
01 Feb 2021 → 01 Feb 2021 0
01 Jan 2021 → 01 Jan 2021 0
01 Feb 2021 → 01 Feb 2021 0
real
01 Jan 2021 0 exact
01 Feb 2021 0 exact
01 Jan 2021 0 exact
01 Feb 2021 0 exact
01 Jan 2021 0 exact
01 Feb 2021 0 exact
01 Jan 2021 0 exact
01 Feb 2021 0 exact
01 Jan 2021 0 exact
01 Feb 2021 0 exact
EB-5 pred
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
15 Dec 2015 → 01 Apr 2011 ↓ 57m
-
01 Dec 2020 → 01 Apr 2011 ↓ 117m
-
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
real
Current
Current
15 Jul 2016 ↑ 7m -1932d
01 Oct 2016 ↓ 3m
01 Jan 2022 ↑ 13m -3928d
01 Apr 2022 0
Current
Current
Current
Current
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for October 2024, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our October 2024 forecast scored Typical miss ±365 days across 26 scored dates (worst 3928d).
EB-1: ±18d EB-2: ±69d EB-3: ±287d EB-5: ±2930d

Model averaged 365.0d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 163.5d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 3 of 26 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
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October 2024 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the October 2024 Visa Bulletin?

No — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date held at 15 Jul 2012, unchanged from the prior month, in the October 2024 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in October 2024?

In the October 2024 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 India Final Action Date is 01 Feb 2022, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in October 2024?

In the October 2024 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 China Final Action Date is 08 Nov 2022, an advance of 7d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in October 2024?

In the October 2024 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 15 Jul 2012, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in October 2024?

In the October 2024 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 22 Mar 2020, an advance of 21d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in October 2024?

In the October 2024 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 Nov 2012, an advance of 10d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.