September 2015 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Official September 2015 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-2	pred	-	-	15 Dec 2013 → 01 Jan 2010 ↓ 48m AdvancingMovement Likely	-	01 Oct 2008 → 15 Feb 2005 ↓ 44m AdvancingMovement Likely	-	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	Current	-	01 Jan 2006 ↓ 96m +1461d	-	01 Jan 2006 ↓ 33m -320d	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-3	pred	15 Jul 2015 → 01 Nov 2012 ↓ 32m	-	01 Jun 2004 → 08 Jul 2010 ↑ 74m AdvancingStable	-	01 Jun 2004 → 04 Dec 2003 ↓ 6m AdvancingStable	-	15 Jul 2015 → 01 Nov 2012 ↓ 32m	-	01 Jun 2004 → 01 Nov 2012 ↑ 102m	-
EB-3	real	15 Aug 2015 ↑ 1m -1017d	-	22 Dec 2004 ↑ 6m +2024d	-	22 Dec 2004 ↑ 6m -384d	-	15 Aug 2015 ↑ 1m -1017d	-	22 Dec 2004 ↑ 6m +2871d	-
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

How our September 2015 forecast scored Typical miss ±1299 days across 7 scored dates (worst 2871d).

EB-2: ±890d EB-3: ±1463d

Model averaged 1299.1d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 654.7d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 2 of 7 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →

September 2015 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the September 2015 Visa Bulletin?

No — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date retrogressed 33m to 01 Jan 2006 in the September 2015 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in September 2015?

In the September 2015 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 India is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in September 2015?

In the September 2015 Visa Bulletin, EB-1 China is Current for Final Action — all priority dates in the category are authorized. This is the official status published by the U.S. Department of State.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in September 2015?

In the September 2015 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2006, a retrogression of 33m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in September 2015?

In the September 2015 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2006, a retrogression of 96m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in September 2015?

In the September 2015 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 22 Dec 2004, an advance of 6m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.