U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

August 2023 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: July 31, 2023 · Methodology

Official August 2023 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
Current → 01 Jul 2023
Current → 01 Jul 2023
01 Feb 2022 → 01 Feb 2022 0
Stable
01 Jun 2022 → 01 Jun 2022 0
Stable
01 Feb 2022 → 01 Feb 2022 0
Stable
01 Jun 2022 → 01 Jun 2022 0
Stable
Current → 01 Jul 2023
Current → 01 Jul 2023
Current → 01 Jul 2023
Current → 01 Jul 2023
real
01 Aug 2023 -31d
Current
01 Feb 2022 0 exact
01 Jun 2022 0 exact
01 Jan 2012 ↓ 122m +3684d
01 Jun 2022 0 exact
01 Aug 2023 -31d
Current
01 Aug 2023 -31d
Current
EB-2 pred
15 Feb 2022 → 15 Feb 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
08 Jun 2019 → 08 Jun 2019 0
Stable
08 Jul 2019 → 08 Jul 2019 0
Stable
01 Jan 2011 → 01 Jan 2011 0
Stable
01 May 2012 → 01 May 2012 0
Watch
15 Feb 2022 → 15 Feb 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
15 Feb 2022 → 15 Feb 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
real
01 Apr 2022 ↑ 1m -45d
01 Dec 2022 0 exact
08 Jul 2019 ↑ 1m -30d
08 Oct 2019 ↑ 3m -92d
01 Jan 2011 0 exact
01 May 2012 0 exact
01 Apr 2022 ↑ 1m -45d
01 Dec 2022 0 exact
01 Apr 2022 ↑ 1m -45d
01 Dec 2022 0 exact
EB-3 pred
01 Feb 2022 → 01 Feb 2022 0
01 May 2023 → 01 May 2023 0
01 Apr 2019 → 16 Apr 2019 ↑ 15d
AdvancingWatch
01 Jun 2019 → 26 Jun 2019 ↑ 25d
AdvancingWatch
01 Jan 2009 → 01 Jan 2009 0
Movement Likely
01 Aug 2012 → 01 Aug 2012 0
Movement Likely
01 Feb 2022 → 01 Feb 2022 0
01 May 2023 → 01 May 2023 0
01 Feb 2022 → 01 Feb 2022 0
01 May 2023 → 01 May 2023 0
real
01 May 2020 ↓ 21m +641d
01 May 2023 0 exact
01 Jun 2019 ↑ 2m -46d
01 Sep 2019 ↑ 3m -67d
01 Jan 2009 0 exact
01 Aug 2012 0 exact
01 May 2020 ↓ 21m +641d
01 May 2023 0 exact
01 May 2020 ↓ 21m +641d
01 May 2023 0 exact
EB-4 exp pred
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
real
01 Sep 2018 0 exact
01 Oct 2018 0 exact
01 Sep 2018 0 exact
01 Oct 2018 0 exact
01 Sep 2018 0 exact
01 Oct 2018 0 exact
01 Sep 2018 0 exact
01 Oct 2018 0 exact
01 Sep 2018 0 exact
01 Oct 2018 0 exact
EB-5 pred
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
08 Sep 2015 → 01 Apr 2011 ↓ 54m
-
01 Apr 2017 → 01 Apr 2011 ↓ 73m
-
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
real
Current
Current
08 Sep 2015 0 -1621d
01 Jan 2016 0
01 Apr 2017 0 -2192d
08 Dec 2019 0
Current
Current
Current
Current
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for August 2023, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our August 2023 forecast scored Typical miss ±341 days across 29 scored dates (worst 3684d).
EB-1: ±540d EB-2: ±26d EB-3: ±204d EB-5: ±1906d

Model averaged 376.5d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 231.4d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 2 of 26 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
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August 2023 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the August 2023 Visa Bulletin?

No — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date held at 01 Jan 2011, unchanged from the prior month, in the August 2023 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in August 2023?

In the August 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2012, a retrogression of 122m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in August 2023?

In the August 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 China Final Action Date is 01 Feb 2022, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in August 2023?

In the August 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2011, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in August 2023?

In the August 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 08 Jul 2019, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in August 2023?

In the August 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2009, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.