U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

September 2023 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: August 31, 2023 · Methodology

Official September 2023 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
01 Aug 2023 → 01 Aug 2023 0
Current → 01 Aug 2023
01 Feb 2022 → 01 Feb 2022 0
Movement Likely
01 Jun 2022 → 01 Jun 2022 0
Movement Likely
01 Jan 2012 → 01 Jan 2012 0
Movement Likely
01 Jun 2022 → 01 Jun 2022 0
Movement Likely
01 Aug 2023 → 01 Aug 2023 0
Current → 01 Aug 2023
01 Aug 2023 → 01 Aug 2023 0
Current → 01 Aug 2023
real
01 Aug 2023 0 exact
Current
01 Feb 2022 0 exact
01 Jun 2022 0 exact
01 Jan 2012 0 exact
01 Jun 2022 0 exact
01 Aug 2023 0 exact
Current
01 Aug 2023 0 exact
Current
EB-2 pred
01 Apr 2022 → 01 Apr 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
08 Jul 2019 → 08 Jul 2019 0
Watch
08 Oct 2019 → 08 Oct 2019 0
Watch
01 Jan 2011 → 01 Jan 2011 0
Movement Likely
01 May 2012 → 01 May 2012 0
Movement Likely
01 Apr 2022 → 01 Apr 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
01 Apr 2022 → 01 Apr 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
real
01 Jul 2022 ↑ 3m -91d
01 Dec 2022 0 exact
08 Jul 2019 0 exact
08 Oct 2019 0 exact
01 Jan 2011 0 exact
01 May 2012 0 exact
01 Jul 2022 ↑ 3m -91d
01 Dec 2022 0 exact
01 Jul 2022 ↑ 3m -91d
01 Dec 2022 0 exact
EB-3 pred
01 May 2020 → 01 May 2020 0
01 May 2023 → 01 May 2023 0
01 Jun 2019 → 01 Jun 2019 0
Stable
01 Sep 2019 → 01 Sep 2019 0
Movement Likely
01 Jan 2009 → 01 Jan 2009 0
Movement Likely
01 Aug 2012 → 01 Aug 2012 0
Movement Likely
01 May 2020 → 01 May 2020 0
01 May 2023 → 01 May 2023 0
01 May 2020 → 01 May 2020 0
01 May 2023 → 01 May 2023 0
real
01 May 2020 0 exact
01 May 2023 0 exact
01 Sep 2019 ↑ 3m -92d
01 Nov 2019 ↑ 2m -61d
01 Jan 2009 0 exact
01 Aug 2012 0 exact
01 May 2020 0 exact
01 May 2023 0 exact
01 May 2020 0 exact
01 May 2023 0 exact
EB-4 exp pred
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
real
01 Sep 2018 0 exact
01 Oct 2018 0 exact
01 Sep 2018 0 exact
01 Oct 2018 0 exact
01 Sep 2018 0 exact
01 Oct 2018 0 exact
01 Sep 2018 0 exact
01 Oct 2018 0 exact
01 Sep 2018 0 exact
01 Oct 2018 0 exact
EB-5 pred
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
08 Sep 2015 → 01 Apr 2011 ↓ 54m
-
01 Apr 2017 → 01 Apr 2011 ↓ 73m
-
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
real
Current
Current
08 Sep 2015 0 -1621d
01 Jan 2016 0
01 Apr 2017 0 -2192d
08 Dec 2019 0
Current
Current
Current
Current
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for September 2023, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our September 2023 forecast scored Typical miss ±146 days across 29 scored dates (worst 2192d).
EB-1: ±0d EB-2: ±27d EB-3: ±15d EB-5: ±1906d

Model averaged 146.2d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 14.7d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 29 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
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September 2023 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the September 2023 Visa Bulletin?

No — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date held at 01 Jan 2011, unchanged from the prior month, in the September 2023 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in September 2023?

In the September 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2012, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in September 2023?

In the September 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 China Final Action Date is 01 Feb 2022, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in September 2023?

In the September 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2011, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in September 2023?

In the September 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 08 Jul 2019, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in September 2023?

In the September 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2009, unchanged from the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.