U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

October 2023 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: September 30, 2023 · Methodology

Official October 2023 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
01 Aug 2023 → 01 Aug 2023 0
Current → 01 Sep 2023
01 Feb 2022 → 01 Feb 2022 0
Movement Likely
01 Jun 2022 → 01 Jun 2022 0
Movement Likely
01 Jan 2012 → 01 Jan 2012 0
Movement Likely
01 Jun 2022 → 01 Jun 2022 0
Movement Likely
01 Aug 2023 → 01 Aug 2023 0
Current → 01 Sep 2023
01 Aug 2023 → 01 Aug 2023 0
Current → 01 Sep 2023
real
Current → Current
Current
15 Feb 2022 ↑ 14d -14d
01 Aug 2022 ↑ 2m -61d
01 Jan 2017 ↑ 60m -1827d
01 Jul 2019 ↓ 35m +1066d
Current → Current
Current
Current → Current
Current
EB-2 pred
01 Jul 2022 → 01 Jul 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
08 Jul 2019 → 08 Jul 2019 0
Movement Likely
08 Oct 2019 → 08 Oct 2019 0
Movement Likely
01 Jan 2011 → 01 Jan 2011 0
Movement Likely
01 May 2012 → 01 May 2012 0
Movement Likely
01 Jul 2022 → 01 Jul 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
01 Jul 2022 → 01 Jul 2022 0
01 Dec 2022 → 01 Dec 2022 0
real
08 Jul 2022 ↑ 7d -7d
01 Jan 2023 ↑ 1m -31d
01 Oct 2019 ↑ 2m -85d
01 Jan 2020 ↑ 2m -85d
01 Jan 2012 ↑ 12m -365d
15 May 2012 ↑ 14d -14d
08 Jul 2022 ↑ 7d -7d
01 Jan 2023 ↑ 1m -31d
08 Jul 2022 ↑ 7d -7d
01 Jan 2023 ↑ 1m -31d
EB-3 pred
01 May 2020 → 01 May 2020 0
01 May 2023 → 01 May 2023 0
01 Sep 2019 → 28 Sep 2019 ↑ 27d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Nov 2019 → 28 Nov 2019 ↑ 27d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Jan 2009 → 01 Jan 2009 0
Movement Likely
01 Aug 2012 → 01 Aug 2012 0
Movement Likely
01 May 2020 → 01 May 2020 0
01 May 2023 → 01 May 2023 0
01 May 2020 → 01 May 2020 0
01 May 2023 → 01 May 2023 0
real
01 Dec 2021 ↑ 19m -579d
01 Feb 2023 ↓ 2m +89d
01 Jan 2020 ↑ 4m -95d
01 Sep 2020 ↑ 10m -278d
01 May 2012 ↑ 40m -1216d
01 Aug 2012 0 exact
01 Dec 2021 ↑ 19m -579d
01 Feb 2023 ↓ 2m +89d
01 Dec 2021 ↑ 19m -579d
01 Jan 2023 ↓ 4m +120d
EB-4 exp pred
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
01 Sep 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 0
01 Oct 2018 → 01 Oct 2018 0
real
01 Jan 2019 ↑ 4m -122d
01 Mar 2019 ↑ 5m -151d
01 Jan 2019 ↑ 4m -122d
01 Mar 2019 ↑ 5m -151d
01 Jan 2019 ↑ 4m -122d
01 Mar 2019 ↑ 5m -151d
01 Jan 2019 ↑ 4m -122d
01 Mar 2019 ↑ 5m -151d
01 Jan 2019 ↑ 4m -122d
01 Mar 2019 ↑ 5m -151d
EB-5 pred
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
08 Sep 2015 → 01 Apr 2011 ↓ 54m
-
01 Apr 2017 → 01 Apr 2011 ↓ 73m
-
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
Current → 01 Apr 2011
-
real
Current
Current
01 Oct 2015 ↑ 23d -1644d
01 Jan 2017 ↑ 12m
15 Dec 2018 ↑ 20m -2815d
01 Apr 2022 ↑ 28m
Current
Current
Current
Current
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for October 2023, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our October 2023 forecast scored Typical miss ±450 days across 26 scored dates (worst 2815d).
EB-1: ±742d EB-2: ±66d EB-3: ±362d EB-5: ±2230d

Model averaged 450.5d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 306.0d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 2 of 26 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
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October 2023 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the October 2023 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 12m to 01 Jan 2012 in the October 2023 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in October 2023?

In the October 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2017, an advance of 60m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in October 2023?

In the October 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 China Final Action Date is 15 Feb 2022, an advance of 14d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in October 2023?

In the October 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2012, an advance of 12m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in October 2023?

In the October 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 01 Oct 2019, an advance of 2m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in October 2023?

In the October 2023 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 May 2012, an advance of 40m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.