Name: U.S. Work-Visa & Green-Card Labor Market Data
Creator: Vladimir Yakunin
License: https://visa-bulletin.us/methodology/

Official December 2015 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current
EB-2	pred	-	-	? → 01 Feb 2010 AdvancingStable	01 Jan 2013 → 01 Jan 2013 0 Watch	? → 15 Feb 2005 AdvancingStable	01 Jul 2009 → 01 Jul 2009 0 Watch	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	-	Current	-	01 Jan 2013 0 exact	-	01 Jul 2009 0 exact	-	Current	-	Current
EB-3	pred	? → 01 Nov 2012	01 Sep 2015 → 01 Sep 2015 0	? → 30 Oct 2010 AdvancingStable	01 Oct 2013 → 01 Oct 2013 0 Watch	? → 05 Dec 2003 AdvancingStable	01 Jul 2005 → 01 Jul 2005 0 Watch	? → 01 Nov 2012	01 Sep 2015 → 01 Sep 2015 0	? → 01 Nov 2012	01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0
EB-3	real	-	01 Sep 2015 0 exact	-	01 Oct 2013 0 exact	-	01 Jul 2005 0 exact	-	01 Sep 2015 0 exact	-	01 Jan 2010 0 exact
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

How our December 2015 forecast scored Typical miss ±0 days across 7 scored dates.

EB-2: ±0d EB-3: ±0d

Model averaged 0.0d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 0.0d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 7 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →

December 2015 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates