Name: U.S. Work-Visa & Green-Card Labor Market Data
Creator: Vladimir Yakunin
License: https://visa-bulletin.us/methodology/

Official January 2016 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref	Row	Other Countries		China (mainland born)		India		Mexico		Philippines
Pref	Row	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing	FA	Filing
EB-1	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-1	real	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current
EB-2	pred	-	-	? → 01 Jan 2010 AdvancingStable	01 Jan 2013 → 01 Jan 2013 0 Watch	? → 15 Feb 2005 AdvancingStable	01 Jul 2009 → 01 Jul 2009 0 Watch	-	-	-	-
EB-2	real	-	Current	-	01 Jan 2013 0 exact	-	01 Jul 2009 0 exact	-	Current	-	Current
EB-3	pred	? → 01 Nov 2012	01 Sep 2015 → 01 Sep 2015 0	? → 01 Jun 2010 AdvancingStable	01 Oct 2013 → 01 Oct 2013 0 Watch	? → 01 Dec 2003 AdvancingStable	01 Jul 2005 → 01 Jul 2005 0 Watch	? → 01 Nov 2012	01 Sep 2015 → 01 Sep 2015 0	? → 01 Nov 2012	01 Jan 2010 → 01 Jan 2010 0
EB-3	real	-	01 Jan 2016 ↑ 4m -122d	-	01 Oct 2013 0 exact	-	01 Jul 2005 0 exact	-	01 Jan 2016 ↑ 4m -122d	-	01 Jan 2010 0 exact
EB-4 exp	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-4 exp	real	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current	-	Current
EB-5	pred	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
EB-5	real	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

How our January 2016 forecast scored Typical miss ±35 days across 7 scored dates (worst 122d).

EB-2: ±0d EB-3: ±49d

Model averaged 34.9d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 34.9d — falling behind the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 0 of 7 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →

January 2016 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates