U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

February 2021 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: January 31, 2021 · Methodology

Official February 2021 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
01 Sep 2019 → 16 Sep 2019 ↑ 15d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Nov 2020 → 01 Nov 2020 0
Movement Likely
01 Sep 2019 → 17 Sep 2019 ↑ 16d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Nov 2020 → 01 Nov 2020 0
Movement Likely
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
real
Current
Current
01 Jan 2020 ↑ 4m -107d
01 Nov 2020 0 exact
01 Jan 2020 ↑ 4m -106d
01 Nov 2020 0 exact
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-2 pred
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
01 Jun 2016 → 28 Jun 2016 ↑ 27d
AdvancingStable
01 Oct 2016 → 01 Oct 2016 0
Stable
08 Oct 2009 → 10 Oct 2009 ↑ 2d
AdvancingStable
15 May 2011 → 15 May 2011 0
Stable
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
real
Current
Current
15 Jun 2016 ↑ 14d +13d
01 Oct 2016 0 exact
12 Oct 2009 ↑ 4d -2d
15 May 2011 0 exact
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-3 pred
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
15 Dec 2017 → 30 Dec 2017 ↑ 15d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Jun 2018 → 01 Jun 2018 0
Stable
22 Mar 2010 → 07 Apr 2010 ↑ 16d
AdvancingStable
01 Jan 2014 → 01 Jan 2014 0
Watch
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
real
Current
Current
01 Jan 2018 ↑ 17d -2d
01 Jun 2018 0 exact
01 Apr 2010 ↑ 10d +6d
01 Jan 2014 0 exact
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-4 exp pred
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
01 Dec 2018 → 01 Dec 2018 0
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
Current → 01 Jan 2021
real
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
15 Dec 2018 ↑ 14d -14d
Current
Current
Current
EB-5 pred
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
real - - - - - - - - - -
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for February 2021, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our February 2021 forecast scored Typical miss ±20 days across 12 scored dates (worst 107d).
EB-1: ±53d EB-2: ±4d EB-3: ±2d

Model averaged 19.7d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 24.1d — beating the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 6 of 12 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
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February 2021 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the February 2021 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 4d to 12 Oct 2009 in the February 2021 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in February 2021?

In the February 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 India Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2020, an advance of 4m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in February 2021?

In the February 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 China Final Action Date is 01 Jan 2020, an advance of 4m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in February 2021?

In the February 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 12 Oct 2009, an advance of 4d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in February 2021?

In the February 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 15 Jun 2016, an advance of 14d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in February 2021?

In the February 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 01 Apr 2010, an advance of 10d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.