U.S. Immigration Data

Priority dates, work visas, and labor market data

January 2021 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Predictions vs Actual Dates

Knowledge Date: December 31, 2020 · Methodology

Official January 2021 Visa Bulletin Employment-Based Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing, by preference category and country of chargeability, shown alongside our model's predictions.
Pref Row Other CountriesChina (mainland born)IndiaMexicoPhilippines
FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing FA Filing
EB-1 pred
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
01 Apr 2019 → 16 Apr 2019 ↑ 15d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Nov 2020 → 16 Nov 2020 ↑ 15d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Apr 2019 → 17 Apr 2019 ↑ 16d
AdvancingMovement Likely
01 Nov 2020 → 01 Nov 2020 0
Movement Likely
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
real
Current
Current
01 Sep 2019 ↑ 5m -138d
01 Nov 2020 0 +15d
01 Sep 2019 ↑ 5m -137d
01 Nov 2020 0 exact
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-2 pred
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
01 May 2016 → 16 May 2016 ↑ 15d
AdvancingStable
01 Oct 2016 → 01 Oct 2016 0
Stable
01 Oct 2009 → 02 Oct 2009 ↑ 1d
AdvancingStable
15 May 2011 → 15 May 2011 0
Movement Likely
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
real
Current
Current
01 Jun 2016 ↑ 1m -16d
01 Oct 2016 0 exact
08 Oct 2009 ↑ 7d -6d
15 May 2011 0 exact
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-3 pred
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
01 Nov 2017 → 16 Nov 2017 ↑ 15d
AdvancingWatch
01 Jun 2018 → 01 Jun 2018 0
Stable
15 Mar 2010 → 15 Mar 2010 0
Stable
01 Jan 2014 → 01 Jan 2014 0
Movement Likely
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
real
Current
Current
15 Dec 2017 ↑ 1m -29d
01 Jun 2018 0 exact
22 Mar 2010 ↑ 7d -7d
01 Jan 2014 0 exact
Current
Current
Current
Current
EB-4 exp pred
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
22 Nov 2018 → 22 Nov 2018 0
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
Current → 01 Dec 2020
real
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
Current
01 Dec 2018 ↑ 9d -9d
Current
Current
Current
EB-5 pred
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
? → 01 Apr 2011
-
real - - - - - - - - - -
Legend: ↑ advance ↓ retrogression · Error badges: exact/≤15d 16–60d >60d · Hover any badge/date for details
This page is the accuracy archive — predictions that were made for January 2021, scored against what the State Department actually published. The current forecast is for December 2026. View the live Visa Bulletin for Employment-Based
How our January 2021 forecast scored Typical miss ±29 days across 12 scored dates (worst 138d).
EB-1: ±72d EB-2: ±6d EB-3: ±9d

Model averaged 29.0d versus the naive “no-change” guess's 32.9d — beating the no-change baseline; the model landed closer on 5 of 12 scored dates.

See the live forecast for the December 2026 bulletin →
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January 2021 Visa Bulletin — Frequently Asked Questions

Did EB-2 India advance in the January 2021 Visa Bulletin?

Yes — the official EB-2 India Final Action Date advanced 7d to 08 Oct 2009 in the January 2021 Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for India in January 2021?

In the January 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 India Final Action Date is 01 Sep 2019, an advance of 5m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-1 Final Action Date for China in January 2021?

In the January 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-1 China Final Action Date is 01 Sep 2019, an advance of 5m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for India in January 2021?

In the January 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 India Final Action Date is 08 Oct 2009, an advance of 7d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-2 Final Action Date for China in January 2021?

In the January 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-2 China Final Action Date is 01 Jun 2016, an advance of 1m versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.

What is the EB-3 Final Action Date for India in January 2021?

In the January 2021 Visa Bulletin, the official EB-3 India Final Action Date is 22 Mar 2010, an advance of 7d versus the prior month. Source: the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin.